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Demographic changes in the US
How do they create opportunities and challenges?

| Michael G, a vice president at a
consumer electronics company, asks, "I have
been reading that Americans are getting
poorer. What does it mean for strategic
planning purposes?" |
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While I
have written extensively in the past on the topic of
uninsured
Americans, the rise
in poverty level, and falling
incomes, there are some more disturbing
indicators. Let us start with the falling
incomes during the 2000-2004. As the chart
below shows, while lower- and middle-class has been
hurt the most, incomes have fallen across all
levels.

Another major
problem is the rapidly growing number of Americans
who are either uninsured or underinsured.
As the chart below shows, while some of it can be
attributed to the explosive growth in the cost
of health insurance, it is also related to the
falling incomes that make it difficult to carry
coverage. The bursting of the bubble, outsourcing
of jobs/creation of only low-paying jobs, and poor
public policy are responsible for the current
situation.

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Implications of economic indicators
- Lower consumer spending (eventually).
Americans have not cut as much as they should
have primarily because they have benefited from
rising real estate assets.
- A less healthy population.
- Major lifestyle changes
Impact on businesses
There is no part of
the economy that is going to be left untouched by
these demographic changes. Here are a few
thoughts for business leaders:
- Consumers will increasingly seek lower
priced products - these can only be provided
by lowering the cost of doing
business. While lower American wages
will help businesses somewhat, executives
have to find other ways to cut costs to
compete with overseas suppliers. In
other words, take
a look at your supply chain and analyze how
you can cut costs.
- Consumers will also be more willing to
accept watered-down version of
offerings. For instance, an affordable
healthcare plan that provides some coverage
will be attractive to millions of
Americans. We are also seeing that in
cars, for example. Hyundai
and Kia have had enormous success at the
low end.
- Businesses that fail to respond to these
structural changes in the economy may miss
the new business opportunities and also face
threats to their existence.
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Questions,
comments, feedback, and suggestions
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